Retention & Churn
What Is Customer Lifetime Value (LTV)?
Learn how to calculate LTV for SaaS subscriptions: ARPU, gross margin, churn, segmentation, and why LTV is the most important value metric.
Retention & Churn
Learn how to calculate LTV for SaaS subscriptions: ARPU, gross margin, churn, segmentation, and why LTV is the most important value metric.
Customer Lifetime Value (LTV), also called CLV (Customer Lifetime Value), estimates the total gross profit a customer generates over their entire relationship with your business. For subscription companies, LTV is the single most important measure of how valuable each customer is and directly determines how much you can afford to spend on acquisition.
The standard SaaS LTV formula:
LTV = (ARPU × Gross Margin) ÷ Monthly Churn Rate
Where:
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| ARPU | $100/month |
| Gross margin | 80% |
| Monthly churn | 3% |
| Monthly gross contribution | $80 |
| LTV | $80 ÷ 0.03 = $2,667 |
Use our LTV Calculator to model your numbers.
LTV should reflect profit, not revenue. A customer paying $100/month with 40% COGS contributes only $60/month toward covering acquisition cost and overhead.
SaaS gross margins are typically 70–85% for mature products. Services-heavy or infrastructure-intensive products may be lower.
Using revenue instead of gross margin overstates LTV and leads to overspending on acquisition.
Churn appears in the denominator, which means small changes have outsized effects:
| Monthly churn | LTV (at $80 contribution) |
|---|---|
| 5% | $1,600 |
| 3% | $2,667 |
| 2% | $4,000 |
| 1% | $8,000 |
Cutting churn from 5% to 3% increases LTV by 67%, often more impactful than increasing ARPU.
→ Model this with our Churn Impact Calculator
Logo churn counts customers lost:
Logo churn = Customers lost ÷ Starting customers
Revenue churn (or MRR churn) measures recurring revenue lost:
Revenue churn = MRR lost ÷ Starting MRR
For LTV calculation, use the churn type that matches your model:
Net Revenue Retention (NRR) goes further by including expansion:
NRR = (Starting MRR + Expansion − Contraction − Churn) ÷ Starting MRR
NRR above 100% means existing customers grow revenue even without new logos.
LTV = (ARPU × Gross Margin) ÷ Churn
Best for: quick estimates, SMB SaaS with relatively uniform customers.
Track actual revenue from a customer cohort over time and sum gross profit until the cohort reaches zero or stabilizes.
Best for: enterprise with long contracts, high variance in customer value.
Sum future gross profit discounted by a rate reflecting time value of money.
Best for: finance teams, investor reporting, long payback periods.
For most growth teams, the simple formula is sufficient for decision-making. Upgrade to cohort-based when ACV exceeds $25K or contract lengths vary widely.
Blended LTV hides critical differences. Segment by:
| Segment | Why |
|---|---|
| Plan tier | Enterprise LTV may be 10× self-serve |
| Acquisition channel | Organic customers often retain better |
| Company size | SMB churn is typically higher than enterprise |
| Cohort month | Product improvements lift newer cohort LTV |
A blended LTV of $3,000 might mask $800 SMB LTV and $15,000 enterprise LTV, leading to wrong CAC targets per segment.
LTV is relative to CAC, not absolute. But directional ranges by segment:
| Segment | Typical LTV range |
|---|---|
| Self-serve SaaS | $500–$3,000 |
| SMB sales-assisted | $3,000–$15,000 |
| Mid-market | $15,000–$100,000 |
| Enterprise | $100,000+ |
The critical benchmark is **LTV:CAC ratio: target 3:1 or higher for sustainable growth.
| Mistake | Impact |
|---|---|
| Using revenue instead of gross margin | Overstates LTV 20–40% |
| Using annual churn in monthly formula | Dramatically wrong LTV |
| Ignoring expansion revenue | Understates LTV for products with upsell |
| One blended LTV for all segments | Misallocates acquisition budget |
| Assuming churn is constant | Early cohorts often churn faster |
LTV connects to every other growth metric:
Directional LTV ranges in this guide reflect commonly discussed SaaS segment norms from public research (for example OpenView and ChartMogul). Compare against your own cohorts.
LTV (Customer Lifetime Value), also called CLV, estimates the total gross profit a customer generates over their entire relationship with your business.
A common simple formula is LTV = (ARPU × Gross Margin %) ÷ Monthly Churn Rate. Use gross profit, not revenue, and keep churn on a monthly basis when ARPU is monthly.
Yes. LTV and CLV refer to the same concept; SaaS and startups often say LTV, while retail and ecommerce more often say CLV.